Wind Power India

Forty years of Indian wind

From 250-kilowatt machines in the early 1990s to 5.2 MW turbines and gigawatt-scale project entries today. Fourteen of the seventeen exhibits are computed from CECL’s project workbook. India’s first wind projects date from 1985-86; the charts start at FY1989-90, the first year with complete data, and run to FY2025-26, with every year plotted as the fiscal year ending that March; the ownership and district-count exhibits are reproduced from the published story. The Data check tab sets the workbook against our own extraction of the CECL book.

17
Exhibits
5
Acts
11,302
Project records
41,615
Turbines
3 / 3
Extraction gaps
Exhibit 01Act I · The Arc of Growth

Indian wind growth, FY1989-90 to FY2025-26

A classic hockey-stick: cumulative capacity was near-flat until 1995, then MP Windfarms Limited — a JV between CECL, IREDA and the MP state nodal agency — pioneered the concept of wind-estate development, enabling the steep climb through the accelerated-depreciation boom and the auction era that followed.

56.0 GWcumulative through FY2025-26

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01

the flat decade

1.10 GW cumulative by FY2000

Cumulative capacity stands at 0.02 GW in FY93 and reaches only 1.10 GW by FY2000, a first decade in which the line barely lifts off the axis.

02

1995 inflection

10.1 GW cumulative at FY09

MP Windfarms Limited pioneers wind-estate development in 1995, and the curve steepens: 2.41 GW by FY04, 10.12 GW by FY09, then 32.23 GW by FY17.

03

56 by FY26

56.0 GW cumulative through FY2025-26

By FY2025-26 the workbook records 55.96 GW across its 11,302 validated project rows, 6.22 GW of it added in that final year alone.

Exhibit 02Act I · The Arc of Growth

The pace of build-out

The first 10 GW took nineteen years; every 10 GW since has taken only three to five. The market found its stride after FY09.

19 yrsfor the first 10 GW

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01

nineteen-year climb

19 yrs for the first 10 GW

The first 10 GW takes nineteen years, from FY90 to FY09, making it the widest segment on the chart and the slowest tranche the sector has ever added.

02

three-year tranche

3 yrs from 20 to 30 GW

Between FY14 and FY17 India adds its third 10 GW in just three years, compressing into one cycle the volume that once needed two decades.

03

cadence holds

FY22–FY26 latest 10 GW step

Since FY09 every 10 GW tranche has landed in three to five years; the latest, from 40 to 50 GW, took four, crossing 50 GW in FY26.

Exhibit 03Act II · Makers & Machines

The 1990s pioneers

The first 0.97 GW — under 2% of today's fleet — ran on 250 kW-class machines from makers like NEPC-Micon, Vestas-RRB and Aban-Kenetech that no longer appear in the build.

317.5 MWNEPC-Micon by FY1998-99

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01

first-gigawatt makers

317.5 MW NEPC-Micon by FY1998-99

By FY1998-99 NEPC-Micon leads the young market with 317.5 MW built, ahead of Vestas-RRB at 124.6 MW, Aban-Kenetech at 94.7 MW and AMTL-Wind World at 81.2 MW.

02

quarter-megawatt units

250 kW typical 1990s machine

The median turbine in every year to FY1998-99 is rated 240 to 250 kW, so Das Lagerwey's 46.5 MW alone means 192 separate turbines on the ground.

03

Suzlon starts last

37.3 MW Suzlon by FY1998-99

Suzlon is the smallest named maker here with 37.3 MW, yet it is the only name on this chart that still appears in the FY2025-26 build.

Exhibit 04Act II · Makers & Machines

Three decades of OEM turnover

Suzlon anchors the whole period while rivals rise and fall: Gamesa surges then gives way to Siemens Gamesa, Enercon fades, and the recent build is split between GE, SGRE, Suzlon and newcomers such as Envision and Adani.

58.7%Suzlon share in FY08

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01

one constant band

58.7% Suzlon share in FY08

Suzlon holds 58.7% of MW commissioned in FY08 and appears in every year from FY96 on, while every rival band around it either appears late or vanishes entirely.

02

Gamesa rise and exit

40.6% Gamesa peak share

Gamesa climbs from 0.9% of build in FY10 to 40.6% in FY21, then disappears from FY22 as the name gives way to Siemens Gamesa (SGRE).

03

today's order book

70.6% GE and SGRE in FY23

GE and SGRE together account for 70.6% of MW commissioned in FY23, yet before FY13 neither ever held even 1% of a year's build.

Exhibit 05Act II · Makers & Machines

The Suzlon arc

India's home-grown champion built about 28% of all wind capacity, peaked in FY17, cratered after the auction shift and a near-bankruptcy, and is now clawing back.

3.3 MWSuzlon build in FY96

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01

a three-megawatt start

3.3 MW Suzlon build in FY96

Suzlon commissions 3.3 MW in FY96 and stays under 250 MW a year through FY04, then jumps to 494 MW in FY05 as the depreciation boom takes hold.

02

the cliff after FY17

1,779 MW peak year, FY17

A peak of 1,779 MW in FY17 gives way to 349 MW in FY20 and just 80 MW in FY21, tracking the auction transition and a near-bankruptcy in the same window.

03

uneven recovery

882 MW Suzlon build in FY24

Recovery is jagged: 882 MW in FY24 is the strongest year since FY17, FY25 drops back to 336 MW, and FY26 rebounds to 744 MW.

Exhibit 06Act II · Makers & Machines

The turbine staircase

The median installed turbine climbed in plateaus — 250 kW, 600 kW, 850 kW, 1.5 MW, 2.1 MW and now 2.7 MW — each generation adopted, held, then displaced.

0.25 MWmedian machine, FY94–FY99

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01

quarter-megawatt era

0.25 MW median machine, FY94–FY99

The median installed turbine holds at 0.25 MW from FY94 to FY99, dipping only to 0.24 MW in FY97 — close to a decade of near-identical hardware.

02

plateaus, not stalls

2.1 MW median, FY19 to FY23

Each jump is followed by a pause: 0.6 MW from FY03 to FY05, 0.85 MW from FY11 to FY13, 1.5 MW in FY14 and FY15, then 2.1 MW held from FY19 to FY23.

03

the 2.7-megawatt class

2.7 MW median machine, FY24–FY26

Median rating reaches 2.7 MW from FY24 to FY26, nearly eleven times the FY94 level, which is why swapping 250 kW units on proven sites carries such large upside.

Exhibit 07Act III · Scale & Ownership

From tax shelters to mega-farms

The average project grew more than fifty-fold, from under 1 MW of captive installation in FY94 to a 51 MW industrial farm in FY26, inflecting after FY12.

0.9 MWmean project in FY94

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01

one-megawatt projects

0.9 MW mean project in FY94

Mean project size is 0.9 MW in FY94 and still only 1.4 MW in FY04, the arithmetic signature of single-turbine captive installations bought for tax relief.

02

the FY12 turn

7.2 MW mean project in FY13

From 2.6 MW in FY11 the mean climbs to 4.2 MW in FY12 and 7.2 MW in FY13, as developers building for tenders displace individual captive buyers.

03

industrial-scale farms

51.0 MW peak mean project size, FY26

The FY20 mean of 43.1 MW and 51.0 MW in FY26 are roughly fifty times the captive-era baseline — a different financing and land-assembly problem altogether.

Exhibit 08Act III · Scale & Ownership

The pioneer's paradox

Tamil Nadu pioneered India's wind and still runs its smallest turbines — 892 kW on average versus Gujarat's 1,787 kW. An early-mover's legacy.

892 kWTamil Nadu average rating

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01

big fleet, small units

892 kW Tamil Nadu average rating

Tamil Nadu carries 12.59 GW, second only to Gujarat, yet its average turbine rating of 892 kW is the lowest of the seven major states.

02

later build, larger machines

1,787 kW Gujarat average rating

Gujarat's 15.80 GW averages 1,787 kW because more than three-quarters of it arrived from FY16 on, in the 2 MW era, opening an 895 kW gap over the state that started first.

03

where repowering starts

1,224 kW Maharashtra average rating

Maharashtra's 5.95 GW averages just 1,224 kW, so together with Tamil Nadu it forms the pool of old, small hardware that repowering economics target first.

Exhibit 09Act III · Scale & Ownership

Captive to corporate to IPP

New-build ownership flipped in a single generation: corporate captive buyers took 81.0% of new capacity in FY05, IPPs 69.8% by FY25. This exhibit is reproduced from the published story and runs to FY2024-25, because the CECL workbook has no ownership field.

81.0%captive share in FY05

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01

captive by default

81.0% captive share in FY05

Corporate captive buyers take 81.0% of new capacity in FY05 and stay above 70% in most years before FY13, while the IPP band is barely visible.

02

the bands trade places

36.9% IPP share in FY13

IPP share moves from 0.3% in FY04 to 36.9% in FY13 and 44.0% in FY16, because competitive tenders reward whoever can build and finance at scale.

03

utility-led sector

69.8% IPP share in FY25

By FY23 IPPs take 76.1% of new build and 69.8% in FY25, so the sector's typical counterparty today is a balance-sheet developer, not a tax-driven owner.

Exhibit 10Act III · Scale & Ownership

The single-turbine crowd

46% of the 5,723 owners hold exactly one turbine — the legacy of decades of tax-driven captive investment rather than industrial development. Reproduced from the published story's owner register (to FY2024-25): the CECL workbook leaves the owner blank for 22,956 of its 41,615 turbines, so it cannot rebuild this count.

2,657owners with one turbine

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01

one turbine each

2,657 owners with one turbine

2,657 of the 5,723 owners on the register hold exactly one turbine, a first bar more than two and a half times the height of the next category.

02

the long tail

1,977 owners with 2 to 5

Owners of two to five turbines add another 1,977 names, so holdings of five turbines or fewer account for roughly 81% of everyone in the dataset.

03

consent is the constraint

148 owners above 50 turbines

Only 148 owners hold more than 50 turbines, which means any large repowering programme has to assemble agreement across thousands of very small holders.

Exhibit 11Act IV · The Geography

The westward shift

Tamil Nadu led India's wind for three decades; Gujarat's Kutch build-out finally overtook it in FY23.

6.94 GWTamil Nadu by FY12

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01

thirty years ahead

6.94 GW Tamil Nadu by FY12

Tamil Nadu passes 1 GW in FY04 and reaches 6.94 GW by FY12, holding first place comfortably while Gujarat is still under 3 GW.

02

Kutch closes the gap

11.86 GW Gujarat by FY24

Gujarat climbs from 4.03 GW in FY16 to 11.86 GW in FY24, adding more capacity in eight years than Tamil Nadu's entire fleet at FY09.

03

crossover in FY23

15.80 GW Gujarat total in FY26

The lead changes hands in FY23 and widens by FY26 to 15.80 GW for Gujarat against 12.59 GW for Tamil Nadu, with Karnataka third at 8.40 GW.

Exhibit 12Act IV · The Geography

The desert pivot

New capacity marched from the southern plateaus to the western deserts: the South's share of build fell from 71.7% in FY94–FY05 to 37.5% in FY20–FY26, while Gujarat and Rajasthan rose from 14.9% to 52.6%.

81.6%South share in FY94

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01

plateau years

81.6% South share in FY94

The South takes 81.6% of new capacity in FY94 and still 72.7% in FY04, a period when Gujarat and Rajasthan never take more than about a quarter of annual build.

02

the lines cross

72.7% West / desert share in FY20

Desert share first tops the South's in FY08, then decisively from FY20 to FY24, peaking at 72.7% in FY20, the year the South's share falls to 17.5%.

03

a two-region race

56.0% South share in FY25

Five years of desert majority end in FY25, when the South retakes the lead at 56.0%; by FY26 the two are level at about 41% each as Karnataka builds again.

Exhibit 13Act IV · The Geography

Where the wind lives

Just ten districts hold 54.9% of all capacity; Kutch in Gujarat alone carries 14.3% — more than every state except Gujarat, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka.

8.02 GWcapacity in Kutch

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01

one district, eight gigawatts

8.02 GW capacity in Kutch

Kutch alone holds 8.02 GW, ahead of Jaisalmer at 4.06 GW and Tirunelveli at 3.85 GW, and ten districts between them carry 54.9% of national capacity.

02

a two-state contest

14.3% Kutch share of India

Gujarat supplies both Kutch and Jamnagar's 2.41 GW while Tamil Nadu contributes three entries, so the head of the list is effectively a two-state race.

03

concentrated grid load

1.07 GW twelfth district, Koppal

Below the top three the curve flattens quickly, with Koppal closing the list at 1.07 GW, so evacuation upgrades and repowering both land in a few districts.

Exhibit 14Act IV · The Geography

The spreading footprint

Wind began in five districts and reached 195 by FY25 — a footprint built up steadily over three decades. Reproduced from the published story, which runs to FY2024-25; the CECL workbook has no district-by-year table, and its 226 raw district names include many spellings of the same place.

5districts in FY94

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01

five districts

5 districts in FY94

Wind begins in five districts in FY94 and reaches only 26 by FY04, a first decade of build packed into a handful of proven coastal and hill corridors.

02

the fast spread

133 districts by FY16

The count more than doubles from 61 districts in FY10 to 133 in FY16, the years when better resource maps and new evacuation opened fresh states.

03

near nationwide

195 districts with wind, FY25

195 districts carry wind by FY25, but the spread has slowed: just 11 were added between FY23 and FY25, against 15 or more in each of FY11, FY16 and FY17.

Exhibit 15Act V · The Repowering Clock

The ageing fleet

Half the fleet is under a decade old, but 25.1% has passed 15 years and 9.4% has already reached its 20-year design life — the repowering clock is ticking.

52.2%fleet under ten years

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01

a young majority

52.2% fleet under ten years

Capacity aged nought to nine years accounts for 52.2% of the fleet at FY26, a direct reflection of how much of it was commissioned from FY17 on.

02

the fifteen-year band

25.1% capacity past 15 years

The 15 to 19 year segment holds 15.7% and the 20-plus segment 9.4%, bracketing 25.1% of installed capacity that has already passed fifteen years of service.

03

clock already ringing

22.6% aged 10 to 14 years

9.4% of capacity has reached its 20-year design life today, and the 22.6% now aged 10 to 14 years moves into that bracket within the next decade.

Exhibit 16Act V · The Repowering Clock

Count versus capacity

Sub-1-MW machines are 47.1% of every turbine ever installed but only 18.6% of the megawatts — that gap of tiny old machines on prime land is the repowering prize.

20.2% → 3.9%turbines versus capacity

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01

many units, few megawatts

20.2% → 3.9% turbines versus capacity

Machines below 0.5 MW make up 20.2% of every turbine ever installed but only 3.9% of capacity, the steepest downward slope anywhere on the chart.

02

where the gap sits

47.1% of all turbines installed

The 0.5 to 1.0 MW band adds 26.9% of units for 14.7% of megawatts, so sub-1-MW hardware totals 47.1% of turbines against 18.6% of installed capacity.

03

the repowering prize

62.5% capacity from 2 MW-plus units

From 2 MW up the slopes reverse, with 35.2% of units carrying 62.5% of capacity, and that reversal is the whole arithmetic case for replacing small machines.

Exhibit 17Act V · The Repowering Clock

The mega-project era

The ten biggest single project entries in the workbook were all commissioned in FY21–FY26, on 2.1 to 5.2 MW turbines — a different species from the captive era.

1,237.6 MWlargest single project

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01

a gigawatt in one entry

1,237.6 MW largest single project

A 1,237.6 MW entry at Khavda in Kutch, commissioned in FY26 on 238 Adani 5.2 MW turbines, is the largest single project in the workbook, 59% bigger than the 780 MW runner-up, also at Khavda.

02

all in six years

10 / 10 built FY21 to FY26

Every one of the ten largest projects was commissioned between FY21 and FY26, all of them on 2.1 to 5.2 MW turbine platforms.

03

western utility scale

279.3 MW tenth largest project

Five of the ten sit in Kutch and Jaisalmer, the two districts that top Exhibit 13, and Suzlon's 279.3 MW at Fatehgarh in FY23 closes the list.